Using a Hybrid System Composed of Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms for Financial Forecasting

نویسنده

  • Mihaela Dumitrescu
چکیده

The possibility of applying artificial neural networks in different areas determined the discovery of more complex structures. This chapter describes the characteristic aspects of using a back-propagation neural network algorithm in making financial forecasting improved by a different technology: genetic algorithms. These can help build an automatic artificial neural network by two adaptive processes: first, genetic search through the data entry window, the forecast horizon, network architecture space, and control parameters to select the best performers; second, back propagation learning in individual networks to evaluate the selected architectures. Thus, network performance population increases from generation to generation. This chapter also presents how genetic algorithms can be used both to find the best network architecture and to find the right combination of inputs, the best prediction horizon and the most effective weight. Finally, this study shows how the results obtained using these technologies can be applied to obtain decision support systems that can lead to increased performance in economic activity and financial projections.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Provide a stock price forecasting model using deep learning algorithms and its use in the pricing of Islamic bank stocks

Predicting stock prices is complicated; various components, such as the general state of the economy, political events, and investor expectations, affect the stock market. The stock market is in fact a chaotic nonlinear system that depends on various political, economic and psychological factors. To overcome the limitations of traditional analysis techniques in predicting nonlinear patterns, ex...

متن کامل

AN EXTENDED FUZZY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS MODEL FOR TIME SERIES FORECASTING

Improving time series forecastingaccuracy is an important yet often difficult task.Both theoretical and empirical findings haveindicated that integration of several models is an effectiveway to improve predictive performance, especiallywhen the models in combination are quite different. In this paper,a model of the hybrid artificial neural networks andfuzzy model is proposed for time series for...

متن کامل

A hybrid computational intelligence model for foreign exchange rate forecasting

Computational intelligence approaches have gradually established themselves as a popular tool for forecasting the complicated financial markets. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important features of forecasting models; hence, never has research directed at improving upon the effectiveness of time series models stopped. Nowadays, despite the numerous time series forecasting models propos...

متن کامل

A Review of Epidemic Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks

Background and aims: Since accurate forecasts help inform decisions for preventive health-careintervention and epidemic control, this goal can only be achieved by making use of appropriatetechniques and methodologies. As much as forecast precision is important, methods and modelselection procedures are critical to forecast precision. This study aimed at providing an overview o...

متن کامل

Novel Hybrid Fuzzy-Evolutionary Algorithms for Optimization of a Fuzzy Expert System Applied to Dust Phenomenon Forecasting Problem

Nowadays, dust phenomenon is one of the important challenges in warm and dry areas. Forecasting the phenomenon before its occurrence helps to take precautionary steps to prevent its consequences. Fuzzy expert systems capabilities have been taken into account to assist and cope with the uncertainty associated to complex environments such as dust forecasting problem. This paper presents novel hyb...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016